Nate Silver: Pollsters Probably Didn’t Talk to Enough White Voters Without College Degrees
Let’s take two fairly obvious data-driven conclusions from the 2016 election and see if there’s any link between them.
The first conclusion: Education was almost everything in explaining the results of the race. Donald Trump substantially improved on Mitt Romney’s performance among voters without college degrees — especially white voters without college degrees. Hillary Clinton somewhat improved on President Obama’s performance with college-educated voters. The link between education levels and the shift in the vote is robust, even when controlling for other factors, such as income levels.
Read the rest of Nate’s column here.